The Blog
Insights, market notes, and product updates from the Swipe1 satellite team.
Why Kalshi’s Sports Contracts Are Reshaping Sports Betting in 2026
In March 2026, sports contracts reached 87% of trading volume on Kalshi, totaling $9.9 billion out of $11.39 billion. Users trade event…
Weather Prediction Markets 2026: Betting on Temperature, Rain, and Storms
A weather event contract is a prediction market instrument that resolves based on a verifiable meteorological outcome. Participants answer yes-or-no questions about…
The Rise of Social, Mobile-First Sports Prediction in 2026
Mobile sports prediction apps replace order books with swipe gestures to make market forecasting simple for fans. Unlike traditional sportsbooks that charge…
Sports Prediction Markets vs Sportsbooks: What’s the Difference in 2026?
Sports prediction markets use a peer to peer exchange model where users trade event shares against each other, whereas traditional sportsbooks act…
Premier League & Football Predictions: How Markets Track the Beautiful Game
Beyond brief tournaments like the 2026 FIFA World Cup, sprawling nine-month domestic league campaigns sustain baseline engagement across every football prediction market…
Predicting the World Cup: A Beginner’s Guide to Football Event Contracts
A football event contract is a derivative instrument with a value tied to the outcome of a specific match event on the…
Predicting the House and Senate: Reading Midterm Odds in 2026
Balance of power contracts are macro-level event contracts in an election prediction market where participants trade shares on which political party will…
Kalshi vs Polymarket in 2026: Which Prediction Market Is Right for You?
Kalshi and Polymarket differ primarily in regulation, infrastructure, and user access. Kalshi operates as a regulated CFTC derivatives exchange using US dollars,…
How Weather Events Move Commodity Prediction Markets
The weather-commodity link connects climatic shifts directly to changes in global supply and demand for agricultural products and energy resources. When severe…
How to Predict Sports Outcomes Without Placing a Traditional Bet
Sports prediction markets differ from traditional betting by replacing fixed bets against a bookmaker with peer to peer trading on outcome probabilities.…