Elections | Swipe1 Blog
Election prediction markets: US midterms, balance of power, and race-by-race odds.
Elections
2026 Predictions for the USA: What Markets Expect After the Midterms
As the midsummer heat settles across the United States in late July 2026, political strategists, institutional investors, and everyday observers are locking…
Elections
Predicting the House and Senate: Reading Midterm Odds in 2026
Balance of power contracts are macro-level event contracts in an election prediction market where participants trade shares on which political party will…
Elections
How Election Prediction Markets Work (And When They Beat the Polls)
Traditional polling tracks vote intention over days or weeks without incentives, while an election prediction market tracks continuous implied probabilities backed by…
Elections
2026 US Midterm Elections: What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
In late May 2026, the election prediction market showed a 43 percent probability of a Democratic sweep of both congressional chambers compared…